Stockport County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 1 Apr 2024

📅01/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.3
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.99
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.7
X/1
13%
3.5
X/2
7%
11.65
X/X
10%
4.7
2/1
11%
27.5
2/2
11%
10.45
2/X
8%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.4pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockport County EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 19%
-7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
1.84/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.22
-4% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +24%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
326 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 214 · 63%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
23.5 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stockport County
2W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.96
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
295 Passes 200
71% Pass Accuracy 63%
22 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-2 HT 1-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
28.01.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 0-0 Stockport County Stockport County İN2
03.09.2022 Stockport County Stockport County 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stockport County
1-0
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.41 xG 0.81
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 2
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 1
386 Passes 106
73% Pass Accuracy 41%
11 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockport County nicked a narrow win over AFC Wimbledon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stockport County as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Stockport County had 67% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 33%, shots finished 8-2, expected goals 0.41 to 0.81.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Stockport County had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stockport County and 0.67 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Stockport County 1-0 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 01/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockport County vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stockport County win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Stockport County 49%, draw 27%, AFC Wimbledon 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stockport County), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stockport County) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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