Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.9
Over
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.7
No
42%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
23%
3.14
2-3
43%
1.72
4-5
23%
3.32
6+
11%
12.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.3
1/2
6%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.0
X/1
21%
5.19
X/2
13%
6.07
X/X
9%
4.69
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.2
2/X
10%
13.25
Value flag · X/1 at 5.19 — our 21% vs market 14.8%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.7pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
55%
+3.4pp
42%
BTTS No
45%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Argyle The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool The Market 37%
+15% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.40/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.27
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
279 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 74%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.2 Crosses 17.7
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Blackpool
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.84 xG 1.37
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
286 Passes 391
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
21 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
27.03.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 2-2 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
12.09.2020 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
30.03.2019 Blackpool Blackpool 2-2 HT 0-1 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
15.09.2018 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 0-1 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
30.12.2017 Blackpool Blackpool 2-2 HT 0-2 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle İN1
12.09.2017 Plymouth Argyle Plymouth Argyle 1-3 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Plymouth Argyle
1-0
AWAY Blackpool
1.87 xG 0.66
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
327 Passes 184
78% Pass Accuracy 66%
19 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Plymouth Argyle vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plymouth Argyle edged past Blackpool 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Plymouth Argyle found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Plymouth Argyle had 59% of the ball to Blackpool's 41%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.87 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Plymouth Argyle's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Blackpool led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Plymouth Argyle and 1.67 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Plymouth Argyle vs Blackpool?

Plymouth Argyle 1-0 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Argyle vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated a Plymouth Argyle win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Argyle 39%, draw 26%, Blackpool 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Plymouth Argyle) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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