Charlton Athletic 0-1 Leicester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
4.2
6+ Goals
10%
21.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.2 — our 23% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.34
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
14%
5.89
X/2
10%
5.19
X/X
12%
3.98
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
17%
3.57
2/X
9%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlton Athletic EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Leicester City EU Bookmakers 42%
-1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.39/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.42
-9% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 77%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
20.1 Crosses 13.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlton Athletic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Leicester City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
01.03.2014 Leicester City Leicester City 3-0 HT 1-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
31.08.2013 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
19.02.2013 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-1 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
21.08.2012 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
29.12.2007 Leicester City Leicester City 1-1 HT 0-0 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic İNCL
22.09.2007 Charlton Athletic Charlton Athletic 2-0 HT 2-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlton Athletic
0-1
AWAY Leicester City
1.62 xG 0.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
20 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 4
206 Passes 305
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
41 Box Touches 15
37 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlton Athletic vs Leicester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City edged past Charlton Athletic 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Leicester City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Charlton Athletic had 45% of the ball to Leicester City's 55%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 1.62 to 0.49 — on chances, Charlton Athletic could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Charlton Athletic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Charlton Athletic and 1.17 for Leicester City.

What was the final score of Charlton Athletic vs Leicester City?

Charlton Athletic 0-1 Leicester City in the England - Championship on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlton Athletic vs Leicester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlton Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Charlton Athletic 37%, draw 28%, Leicester City 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Charlton Athletic), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Charlton Athletic) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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