Milan 1-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 23 Aug 2025

Milan
1-2 HT 1-1
Cremonese
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2025/2026

Milan vs Cremonese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
73%
1.34
Draw
16%
4.49
Away
11%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.03
Over
57%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.07
No
50%
1.67
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
23%
3.63
2-3
41%
1.78
4-5
27%
3.1
6+
9%
10.45
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.63 — our 23% vs market 21.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.57
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
4%
19.7
X/1
27%
3.66
X/2
3%
16.45
X/X
8%
6.54
2/1
13%
23.2
2/2
5%
14.8
2/X
4%
23.2
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Milan v Cremonese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan The Market 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese The Market 14%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.88/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.79
-3% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
433 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
31.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
22.3 Crosses 15.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.7

Milan vs Cremonese Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Cremonese
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.30 xG 0.74
74% Ball Possession 26%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
564 Passes 152
86% Pass Accuracy 64%
30 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.05.2023 Milan Milan 1-1 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTA
08.11.2022 Cremonese Cremonese 0-0 HT 0-0 Milan Milan İTA

Milan 1-2 Cremonese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan
1-2
AWAY Cremonese
1.92 xG 0.21
64% Ball Possession 36%
24 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
551 Passes 278
91% Pass Accuracy 82%
49 Box Touches 6
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Milan vs Cremonese
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Cremonese edged past Milan 2-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Milan at 73% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 64% to 36% in Milan's favour, shots finished 24-4, expected goals 1.92 to 0.21 — on chances, Milan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.50 a game for Milan against 0.50 for Cremonese.

Milan vs Cremonese Result & Final Score

Milan 1-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie A on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Milan vs Cremonese Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split Milan 73%, draw 16%, Cremonese 11%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Milan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan) ✓ Over 2.5
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