Roma vs Bologna Prediction — Model Probabilities
Roma v Bologna — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Bologna Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Roma 1-0 Bologna — Actual Match Statistics
Roma shaded a tight game against Bologna 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Roma had 51% of the ball to Bologna's 49%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 1.56 to 0.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Roma and 1.67 for Bologna.
Roma vs Bologna Result & Final Score
Roma 1-0 Bologna in the Italy - Serie A on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Roma vs Bologna Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Roma 50%, draw 28%, Bologna 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.