Bologna 2-2 Roma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 12 Jan 2025

Bologna
2-2 HT 0-0
Roma
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Bologna vs Roma Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.71
Over
42%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No Pick
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
34%
2.82
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
19%
3.89
6+
9%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 28.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.83
1/2
5%
32.5
1/X
8%
12.75
X/1 ✗
22%
5.58
X/2
14%
5.79
X/X
13%
4.09
2/1
7%
31.5
2/2
9%
4.03
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · X/1 at 5.58 — our 22% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Bologna v Roma — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Roma The Market 37%
+8% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -10%
1.12/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.40
+15% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -21%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
15.2 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Bologna vs Roma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Roma
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.97 xG 1.24
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
452 Passes 317
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 21
9 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Roma Roma 2-3 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
22.04.2024 Roma Roma 1-3 HT 0-2 Bologna Bologna İTA
17.12.2023 Bologna Bologna 2-0 HT 1-0 Roma Roma İTA
14.05.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-0 HT 0-0 Roma Roma İTA
04.01.2023 Roma Roma 1-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
01.05.2022 Roma Roma 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA

Bologna 2-2 Roma — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
2-2
AWAY Roma
2.06 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
393 Passes 326
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Bologna vs Roma
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Bologna and Roma traded blows to a 2-2 standstill. Half-time: 0-0.

A gentle 44% lean on Bologna didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Bologna had 54% of the ball to Roma's 46%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 2.06 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bologna had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bologna and 0.67 for Roma.

Bologna vs Roma Result & Final Score

Bologna 2-2 Roma in the Italy - Serie A on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Bologna vs Roma Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bologna 44%, draw 27%, Roma 29%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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