Genoa vs Parma Prediction — Model Probabilities
Genoa v Parma — Team-Based Signals
Genoa vs Parma Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Genoa 1-0 Parma — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa squeezed past Parma 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Genoa made the difference.
Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 48% and both teams to score at 52%.
On the day, Genoa had 61% of the ball to Parma's 39%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.19 to 0.46.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Genoa and 2.00 for Parma.
Genoa vs Parma Result & Final Score
Genoa 1-0 Parma in the Italy - Serie A on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Genoa vs Parma Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Genoa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Genoa 39%, draw 29%, Parma 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Genoa), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.