Parma vs Genoa Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Parma v Genoa — Team-Based Signals
Parma vs Genoa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTB
3-3
HT 2-2
Parma
İTB
1-2
HT 1-0
Genoa
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Parma
İTA
1-4
HT 0-2
Parma
İTA
5-1
HT 3-0
Genoa
İTA
Parma 0-1 Genoa — Actual Match Statistics
Genoa squeezed past Parma 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Parma at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Parma had 55% of the ball to Genoa's 45%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 1.11 to 1.39.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Parma had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Parma and 1.33 for Genoa.
What was the final score of Parma vs Genoa?
Parma 0-1 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Parma vs Genoa?
Before kick-off our model rated a Parma win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parma 42%, draw 28%, Genoa 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.