Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 12 Jan 2025

Napoli
2-0 HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
📅12/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
1.97
Over
46%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.16
No Pick
57%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 ✗
29%
3.47
2-3
41%
1.77
4-5
21%
3.25
6+
9%
11.75
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.47 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.66
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.2
X/1
22%
3.41
X/2
6%
16.75
X/X
15%
6.33
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
9%
14.3
2/X
5%
22.1
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Napoli v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Hellas Verona The Market 15%
Weak Season vs Marketall history · vs bookmaker expectation Average
Average Recent Form vs Marketlatest matches · vs bookmaker expectation Weak
1.89 Expected Goals Scoredper match · higher is better 0.92
0.77 Expected Goals Concededper match · lower is better 1.64
Weak Attackvs league average Average
Average Defensevs league average Average
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
438 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
33.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
21.7 Crosses 14.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Napoli vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hellas Verona
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.47 xG 1.03
65% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
486 Passes 211
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
28 Box Touches 15
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.08.2024 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 3-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTA
04.02.2024 Napoli Napoli 2-1 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
21.10.2023 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-3 HT 0-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
15.04.2023 Napoli Napoli 0-0 HT 0-0 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona İTA
15.08.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 2-5 HT 1-2 Napoli Napoli İTA
13.03.2022 Hellas Verona Hellas Verona 1-2 HT 0-1 Napoli Napoli İTA

Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
2-0
AWAY Hellas Verona
1.18 xG 0.27
69% Ball Possession 31%
14 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
642 Passes 255
91% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 8
27 Crosses 7
REVIEW Napoli vs Hellas Verona
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Napoli took care of Hellas Verona 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, Napoli had 69% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 31%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.18 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Napoli and 1.33 for Hellas Verona.

Napoli vs Hellas Verona Result & Final Score

Napoli 2-0 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Napoli vs Hellas Verona Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Napoli 55%, draw 25%, Hellas Verona 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Napoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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