Napoli vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Napoli v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Napoli
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
2-5
HT 1-2
Napoli
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Napoli
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
Napoli 2-1 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli squeezed past Hellas Verona 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Napoli had 69% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 31%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.29 to 0.93.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Napoli and 1.00 for Hellas Verona.
What was the final score of Napoli vs Hellas Verona?
Napoli 2-1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Napoli vs Hellas Verona?
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Napoli 51%, draw 25%, Hellas Verona 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli) — a clean sweep of the main markets.