Napoli vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
Napoli v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Napoli vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Napoli 2-1 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Napoli squeezed past Hellas Verona 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Napoli as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 47%, coin-flips both. If anything the market was more convinced: the BTTS-no price stood at 1.68, roughly 60%.
On the day, possession split 69% to 31% in Napoli's favour, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 1.29 to 0.93.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Napoli had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Napoli against 1.00 for Hellas Verona.
Napoli vs Hellas Verona Result & Final Score
Napoli 2 - 1 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Napoli vs Hellas Verona Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Napoli 66%, draw 21%, Hellas Verona 13%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Napoli) — while BTTS No went the other way.