Inter 1-0 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.36
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
5.04
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.45
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
7%
15.45
X/1
13%
3.82
X/2
9%
8.61
X/X
9%
3.93
2/1
9%
30.0
2/2
11%
7.6
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 24%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +5%
1.88/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.36
+18% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +23%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
337 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 79%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
21.9 Crosses 13.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Juventus
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.44 xG 0.86
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
534 Passes 359
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 16
25 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.11.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
26.04.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTK
04.04.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTK
19.03.2023 Inter Inter 0-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
06.11.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
11.05.2022 Juventus Juventus 2-4 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
1-0
AWAY Juventus
1.75 xG 0.66
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
494 Passes 434
88% Pass Accuracy 89%
33 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Inter vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter nicked a narrow win over Juventus 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Inter had 54% of the ball to Juventus's 46%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.75 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inter and 1.17 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Inter vs Juventus?

Inter 1-0 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Inter 50%, draw 24%, Juventus 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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