Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Atalanta v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 2-1
Atalanta
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Atalanta
İTA
0-2
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Atalanta
İTA
2-2
HT 1-1
Lazio
İTA
1-3
HT 0-1
Lazio
İTA
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta got the better of Lazio 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Atalanta had 53% of the ball to Lazio's 47%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.27 to 1.22.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atalanta and 1.67 for Lazio.
What was the final score of Atalanta vs Lazio?
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Atalanta vs Lazio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 45%, draw 28%, Lazio 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.