Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Atalanta v Lazio — Team-Based Signals
Atalanta vs Lazio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Atalanta 3-1 Lazio — Actual Match Statistics
Atalanta put daylight between themselves and Lazio 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
True to our pre-match read, our model had Atalanta as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (56%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: Atalanta had 53% of the ball to Lazio's 47%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.27 to 1.22.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lazio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Atalanta and 1.67 for Lazio.
Atalanta vs Lazio Result & Final Score
Atalanta 3 - 1 Lazio in the Italy - Serie A on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Atalanta 47%, draw 29%, Lazio 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.