Lazio (K) 2-1 Napoli (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İTSKK, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.42
Draw
24%
4.34
Away
8%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
2%
1/X
3%
X/1
25%
X/2
2%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
66%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.5pp
8%
Away Win
14%
-6.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.1pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lazio (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Napoli (K) EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
410 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lazio (K)
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Napoli (K)
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
1.70 xG 0.89
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
314 Passes 242
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
21 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2025 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 2-1 HT 2-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
08.03.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
18.01.2025 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) 0-4 HT 0-3 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) İTKSA
13.10.2024 Lazio (K) Lazio (K) 0-0 Napoli (K) Napoli (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lazio (K)
2-1
AWAY Napoli (K)
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lazio (K) vs Napoli (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lazio (K) edged past Napoli (K) 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lazio (K) as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lazio (K) had 62% of the ball to Napoli (K)'s 38%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lazio (K) had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Lazio (K) and 0.25 for Napoli (K).

What was the final score of Lazio (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Lazio (K) 2-1 Napoli (K) in the İTSKK on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lazio (K) vs Napoli (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lazio (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Lazio (K) 68%, draw 24%, Napoli (K) 8%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lazio (K)) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lazio (K))
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