MSV Duisburg 2-1 Ulm 1846 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2025

MSV Duisburg
2 - 1 HT 1 - 0
Ulm 1846
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Germany - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

MSV Duisburg vs Ulm 1846 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.97
Over
52%
1.79
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1
25%
3.67
2-3
46%
1.82
4-5
23%
3.3
6+
6%
11.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.28
1/2
2%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.4
X/1
15%
5.36
X/2
11%
6.23
X/X
16%
4.8
2/1 ✗
3%
24.95
2/2
16%
4.14
2/X
5%
12.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.95 — our 3% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome. ★ This match carries Gold/Silver/Bronze value markets — free account to see them.

MSV Duisburg v Ulm 1846 — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME MSV Duisburg The Market 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulm 1846 The Market 32%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Great
1.53 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.52
1.00 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
Average Attack Strength Strong
Strong Defense Strength Strong
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
21 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3

MSV Duisburg vs Ulm 1846 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME MSV Duisburg
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Ulm 1846
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 2-2 HT 1-0 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg AL3
25.08.2023 MSV Duisburg MSV Duisburg 1-1 HT 1-1 Ulm 1846 Ulm 1846 AL3

MSV Duisburg 2-1 Ulm 1846 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME MSV Duisburg
2 - 1
AWAY Ulm 1846
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
192 Passes 375
71% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Crosses 27
5 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW MSV Duisburg vs Ulm 1846
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

MSV Duisburg edged past Ulm 1846 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (57%) landed.

On the day, MSV Duisburg had 38% of the ball to Ulm 1846's 62%, shots finished 14-18.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for MSV Duisburg and 1.50 for Ulm 1846.

MSV Duisburg vs Ulm 1846 Result & Final Score

MSV Duisburg 2 - 1 Ulm 1846 in the Germany - 3rd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

MSV Duisburg vs Ulm 1846 Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 44%, draw 27%, Ulm 1846 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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