Blau-Weiss Linz 0-2 Ried — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
35%
3.11
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.88
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
18.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 33% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.55
1/2
9%
32.0
1/X
7%
12.95
X/1
13%
5.28
X/2
11%
5.87
X/X
18%
4.19
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
12%
4.2
2/X
10%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.2pp
35%
Draw
29%
+6.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Ried EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.61/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.17
+6% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
17.7 Crosses 14.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ried
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
140 Passes 264
51% Pass Accuracy 68%
10 Box Touches 30
6 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 1
26.06.2020 Ried Ried 1-3 HT 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
29.09.2019 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-3 HT 1-0 Ried Ried AU2
29.05.2019 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Ried Ried AU2
09.11.2018 Ried Ried 1-3 HT 0-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
04.05.2018 Ried Ried 1-0 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AU2
09.03.2018 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 2-2 HT 1-1 Ried Ried AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
0-2
AWAY Ried
0.85 xG 1.71
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
278 Passes 226
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
26 Box Touches 13
15 Crosses 11
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Ried
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ried got the better of Blau-Weiss Linz 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 35% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ried found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 56% of the ball to Ried's 44%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.85 to 1.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ried led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 1.50 for Ried.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Ried?

Blau-Weiss Linz 0-2 Ried in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Ried?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 33%, draw 35%, Ried 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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