Salzburg 3-0 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.99
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
14.05
X/1
15%
4.28
X/2
7%
10.3
X/X
12%
6.17
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
19.8
2/2
8%
7.56
2/X
6%
15.55
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.8 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+1.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.1pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.6pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -4%
2.13/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.12
+15% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -30%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
407 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
32.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
21.2 Crosses 14.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
3W-0D-3L
AWAY LASK Linz
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.99 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
370 Passes 292
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
36 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.02.2025 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVK
23.11.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-2 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.08.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
19.05.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 7-1 HT 3-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
12.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 2-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
09.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
3-0
AWAY LASK Linz
2.79 xG 0.54
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 4
476 Passes 293
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
43 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg ran out comfortable winners over LASK Linz 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Salzburg had 59% of the ball to LASK Linz's 41%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.79 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Salzburg and 1.33 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs LASK Linz?

Salzburg 3-0 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 59%, draw 22%, LASK Linz 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVU More Austria - Bundesliga
23 Aug 2025
18:00 Blau-Weiss Linz vs Ried Analysis →