LASK Linz 3-1 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 12 Apr 2024

LASK Linz
3-1 HT 2-0
Salzburg
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

LASK Linz vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
46%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.17
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.7
6+ Goals
7%
15.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.17 — our 28% vs market 25.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.06
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
6%
7.9
X/2
17%
4.24
X/X
12%
4.65
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.55
2/X
9%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-3.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

LASK Linz v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 54%
-7% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +10%
1.50/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.13
-13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +70%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
18.0 Crosses 15.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

LASK Linz vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Salzburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
278 Passes 251
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
25 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
09.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
02.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-3 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
21.10.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
14.05.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
16.04.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
12.03.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-2 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU

LASK Linz 3-1 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
3-1
AWAY Salzburg
1.87 xG 1.58
32% Ball Possession 68%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
167 Passes 456
60% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 38
6 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz saw off Salzburg 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Salzburg at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LASK Linz had 32% of the ball to Salzburg's 68%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.87 to 1.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for LASK Linz and 1.17 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

LASK Linz 3-1 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 25%, draw 29%, Salzburg 46%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →