LASK Linz 2-1 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - ÖFB Cup, 2 Feb 2025

📅02/02/2025 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.21
Over 2.5
57%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
4.38
2-3 Goals
30%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.99
6+ Goals
15%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
8.21
1/2
9%
20.45
1/X
6%
16.55
X/1
8%
10.7
X/2 EV+ ✗
28%
4.18
X/X
10%
6.12
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
19%
1.96
2/X
6%
14.85
Value flag · X/2 at 4.18 — our 28% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
19%
+2.3pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.4pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.2pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 62%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
213 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Salzburg
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.27 xG 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
289 Passes 347
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
23.11.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 1-2 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
17.08.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
19.05.2024 Salzburg Salzburg 7-1 HT 3-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
12.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 2-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
09.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
02.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-3 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
2-1
AWAY Salzburg
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

LASK Linz squeezed past Salzburg 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Salzburg at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, LASK Linz had 41% of the ball to Salzburg's 59%, shots finished 6-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LASK Linz and 2.33 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

LASK Linz 2-1 Salzburg in the Austria - ÖFB Cup on 02/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 22%, draw 22%, Salzburg 57%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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