Salzburg 7-1 LASK Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

Salzburg
7-1 HT 3-1
LASK Linz
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Salzburg vs LASK Linz Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.62
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.89
Over 2.5
58%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.61
2-3 Goals
40%
2.14
4-5 Goals
27%
2.5
6+ Goals
14%
5.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.65
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.7
X/1
20%
3.88
X/2
9%
14.65
X/X
10%
8.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
18.95
2/2
8%
9.69
2/X
5%
17.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.95 — our 9% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.1pp
21%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.3pp
42%
Under 2.5
31%
+11.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
69%
-11.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salzburg v LASK Linz — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY LASK Linz EU Bookmakers 18%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
2.00/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.41
-7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +33%
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
19.2 Crosses 16.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Salzburg vs LASK Linz Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY LASK Linz
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.59 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
281 Passes 265
70% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.04.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 2-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
09.03.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
02.02.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-3 HT 1-2 Salzburg Salzburg AUK
21.10.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-1 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
14.05.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 0-1 HT 0-0 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
16.04.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-0 HT 0-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU

Salzburg 7-1 LASK Linz — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
7-1
AWAY LASK Linz
3.12 xG 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 4
12 Corners 1
279 Passes 284
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
39 Box Touches 10
13 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs LASK Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg cruised past LASK Linz 7-1. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 7-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Salzburg had 50% of the ball to LASK Linz's 50%, shots finished 21-6, expected goals 3.12 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salzburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Salzburg and 1.00 for LASK Linz.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs LASK Linz?

Salzburg 7-1 LASK Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs LASK Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 56%, draw 21%, LASK Linz 22%. The final score 7-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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