Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Klagenfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
17%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
5.43
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.5
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
21.85
X/1
22%
3.54
X/2
5%
19.25
X/X
11%
8.33
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
7%
14.2
2/X
7%
21.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
72%
-12.3pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.8pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sturm Graz EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
2.07/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/2.19
-8% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.3 Crosses 12.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sturm Graz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.32 xG 0.60
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
369 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 68%
28 Box Touches 13
21 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-4 HT 0-4 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.11.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-3 HT 0-2 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.08.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 0-0 HT 0-0 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
14.05.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-1 HT 2-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
16.04.2023 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt 0-2 HT 0-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
25.02.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-2 HT 1-1 Austria Klagenfurt Austria Klagenfurt AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sturm Graz
2-0
AWAY Austria Klagenfurt
2.24 xG 0.35
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
265 Passes 235
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
26 Box Touches 8
26 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz got the better of Austria Klagenfurt 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sturm Graz as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sturm Graz had 52% of the ball to Austria Klagenfurt's 48%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 2.24 to 0.35.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.50 for Austria Klagenfurt.

What was the final score of Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Sturm Graz 2-0 Austria Klagenfurt in the Austria - Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sturm Graz vs Austria Klagenfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sturm Graz win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Sturm Graz 60%, draw 23%, Austria Klagenfurt 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sturm Graz), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sturm Graz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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