Lokeren-Temse 0-1 RFC Liege — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.61
No
37%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.49
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.07
6+ Goals
14%
10.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.9pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokeren-Temse EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY RFC Liege EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.31/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.27
-25% / +69% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 77%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
22.3 Crosses 23.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokeren-Temse
2W-0D-0L
AWAY RFC Liege
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.41 xG 1.74
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 304
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2025 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse 2-1 HT 1-0 RFC Liege RFC Liege BEL2
15.12.2024 RFC Liege RFC Liege 0-1 HT 0-1 Lokeren-Temse Lokeren-Temse BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokeren-Temse
0-1
AWAY RFC Liege
0.58 xG 2.04
68% Ball Possession 32%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 1
431 Passes 171
87% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 17
27 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lokeren-Temse vs RFC Liege
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RFC Liege edged past Lokeren-Temse 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; RFC Liege found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lokeren-Temse had 68% of the ball to RFC Liege's 32%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.58 to 2.04 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold RFC Liege's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lokeren-Temse had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokeren-Temse and 0.50 for RFC Liege.

What was the final score of Lokeren-Temse vs RFC Liege?

Lokeren-Temse 0-1 RFC Liege in the Belgium - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokeren-Temse vs RFC Liege?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokeren-Temse win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lokeren-Temse 40%, draw 25%, RFC Liege 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokeren-Temse) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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