Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 AS Eupen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
42%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.72
4-5 Goals
22%
3.33
6+ Goals
13%
12.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.9pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.9pp
42%
Away Win
37%
+4.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.1pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Eupen EU Bookmakers 40%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.41/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.30
+47% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
332 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
19.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.7 Crosses 17.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY AS Eupen
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.75 xG 0.68
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
308 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2025 AS Eupen AS Eupen 1-3 HT 1-1 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen BEL2
21.09.2024 Lierse Kempenzonen Lierse Kempenzonen 3-0 HT 1-0 AS Eupen AS Eupen BEL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lierse Kempenzonen
3-2
AWAY AS Eupen
3.06 xG 0.66
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
287 Passes 309
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 12
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lierse Kempenzonen vs AS Eupen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lierse Kempenzonen edged past AS Eupen 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; Lierse Kempenzonen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lierse Kempenzonen had 50% of the ball to AS Eupen's 50%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 3.06 to 0.66 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lierse Kempenzonen's control.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lierse Kempenzonen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Lierse Kempenzonen and 0.50 for AS Eupen.

What was the final score of Lierse Kempenzonen vs AS Eupen?

Lierse Kempenzonen 3-2 AS Eupen in the Belgium - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lierse Kempenzonen vs AS Eupen?

Before kick-off our model rated an AS Eupen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Lierse Kempenzonen 37%, draw 21%, AS Eupen 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AS Eupen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AS Eupen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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