Baranovichi 1-1 Bumprom — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
26%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.5
No
40%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.4pp
60%
BTTS Yes
62%
-2.4pp
40%
BTTS No
38%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baranovichi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bumprom EU Bookmakers 27%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
2.31/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.17
+19% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +50%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
369 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baranovichi
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Bumprom
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Bumprom Bumprom 2-1 HT 2-1 Baranovichi Baranovichi BLR1
10.09.2023 Baranovichi Baranovichi 2-1 HT 1-1 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
POST-MATCH Baranovichi vs Bumprom
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baranovichi and Bumprom couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Baranovichi at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Baranovichi and 1.50 for Bumprom.

What was the final score of Baranovichi vs Bumprom?

Baranovichi 1-1 Bumprom in the Belarus - 1st Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baranovichi vs Bumprom?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baranovichi win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Baranovichi 50%, draw 24%, Bumprom 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Baranovichi), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Baranovichi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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