Fredrikstad II 1-3 SF Grei — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.32
No
44%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
52%
-2.3pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
72%
-15.0pp
44%
BTTS No
28%
+15.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fredrikstad II EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY SF Grei EU Bookmakers 30%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.72/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.75
-31% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
319 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fredrikstad II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY SF Grei
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
07.06.2025 SF Grei SF Grei 5-0 HT 3-0 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II NOR4
POST-MATCH Fredrikstad II vs SF Grei
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SF Grei saw off Fredrikstad II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Fredrikstad II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Fredrikstad II vs SF Grei?

Fredrikstad II 1-3 SF Grei in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fredrikstad II vs SF Grei?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fredrikstad II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fredrikstad II 50%, draw 21%, SF Grei 29%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Fredrikstad II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fredrikstad II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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