Staal Jorpeland 1-3 Vag — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
32%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
80%
No
20%
1.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
10%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
26%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.6pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Vag EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-28% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
331 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Staal Jorpeland
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Vag
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2025 Vag 3-0 HT 2-0 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland NOR4
POST-MATCH Staal Jorpeland vs Vag
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vag got the better of Staal Jorpeland 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Staal Jorpeland at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (80%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Staal Jorpeland vs Vag?

Staal Jorpeland 1-3 Vag in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Staal Jorpeland vs Vag?

Before kick-off our model rated a Staal Jorpeland win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Staal Jorpeland 46%, draw 22%, Vag 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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