Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Atletico Tembetary — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.33
No
56%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
5%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
68%
-5.6pp
19%
Draw
21%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.0pp
56%
BTTS No
61%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Asuncion EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tembetary EU Bookmakers 14%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.38/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.36/1.94
+26% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / -11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
369 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Asuncion
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletico Tembetary
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary 1-2 HT 1-2 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion PAR
02.03.2025 Nacional Asuncion Nacional Asuncion 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tembetary Atletico Tembetary PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Asuncion
1-1
AWAY Atletico Tembetary
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nacional Asuncion vs Atletico Tembetary
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Asuncion and Atletico Tembetary couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Nacional Asuncion carried 63% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Nacional Asuncion had 44% of the ball to Atletico Tembetary's 56%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nacional Asuncion had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Nacional Asuncion and 0.50 for Atletico Tembetary.

What was the final score of Nacional Asuncion vs Atletico Tembetary?

Nacional Asuncion 1-1 Atletico Tembetary in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Asuncion vs Atletico Tembetary?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Asuncion win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Nacional Asuncion 63%, draw 19%, Atletico Tembetary 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nacional Asuncion), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nacional Asuncion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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