2 de Mayo 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-8.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+8.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.14/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.13
-3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
252 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 73%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
6.0 Crosses 28.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 2 de Mayo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.04.2025 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-4 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
11.02.2025 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 1-1 HT 1-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
12.11.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-1 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
30.08.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 1-1 HT 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
22.05.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 2-1 HT 2-1 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano PAR
03.03.2024 Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 0-2 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME 2 de Mayo
1-1
AWAY Sportivo Ameliano
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo and Sportivo Ameliano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was 2 de Mayo at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, 2 de Mayo had 50% of the ball to Sportivo Ameliano's 50%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, 2 de Mayo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 2 de Mayo and 1.17 for Sportivo Ameliano.

What was the final score of 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

2 de Mayo 1-1 Sportivo Ameliano in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano?

Before kick-off our model rated a 2 de Mayo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split 2 de Mayo 41%, draw 27%, Sportivo Ameliano 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (2 de Mayo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (2 de Mayo) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PAR More Paraguay - Profesyonel League
23 Aug 2025
00:30 Nacional Asuncion vs Atletico Tembetary Analysis →