Swit Skolwin 3-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.29
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.2
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 30% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swit Skolwin EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 27%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
2.09/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.38
+24% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
466 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swit Skolwin
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Swit Skolwin 3-1 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
25.08.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 HT 0-0 Swit Skolwin POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swit Skolwin
3-1
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 19
11 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Swit Skolwin vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swit Skolwin beat Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Swit Skolwin as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Swit Skolwin had 46% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 54%, shots finished 14-19.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Swit Skolwin and 1.00 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Swit Skolwin vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Swit Skolwin 3-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swit Skolwin vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swit Skolwin win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Swit Skolwin 43%, draw 22%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swit Skolwin), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swit Skolwin) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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