Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-3 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.64
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
3.15
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
57%
+5.3pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.7pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+2.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-2.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.4pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 23%
+10% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +23%
1.93/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.08
+15% / +68% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
354 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Kalisz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2025 Kalisz Kalisz 2-3 HT 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
18.08.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
30.03.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
17.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
22.05.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-3 HT 2-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
12.11.2021 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 HT 2-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chojniczanka Chojnice
3-3
AWAY Kalisz
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice and Kalisz shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Chojniczanka Chojnice at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Chojniczanka Chojnice had 54% of the ball to Kalisz's 46%, shots finished 16-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chojniczanka Chojnice and 1.17 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Kalisz?

Chojniczanka Chojnice 3-3 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chojniczanka Chojnice vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chojniczanka Chojnice win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chojniczanka Chojnice 62%, draw 19%, Kalisz 19%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chojniczanka Chojnice) ✗ BTTS No
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