Kalisz 2-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.38
2-3 Goals
48%
1.72
4-5 Goals
18%
4.48
6+ Goals
7%
24.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice EU Bookmakers 39%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.52/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.32
+11% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
30.03.2024 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 0-1 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
17.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-0 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
22.05.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-3 HT 2-2 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
12.11.2021 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice 2-1 HT 2-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
18.04.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 0-2 HT 0-1 Chojniczanka Chojnice Chojniczanka Chojnice POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kalisz
2-3
AWAY Chojniczanka Chojnice
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chojniczanka Chojnice edged past Kalisz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Chojniczanka Chojnice found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kalisz had 56% of the ball to Chojniczanka Chojnice's 44%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chojniczanka Chojnice led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kalisz and 1.33 for Chojniczanka Chojnice.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Kalisz 2-3 Chojniczanka Chojnice in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Chojniczanka Chojnice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 37%, draw 25%, Chojniczanka Chojnice 37%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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