Polonia Bytom 2-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.42
Draw
29%
4.19
Away
17%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.91
Over 2.5
39%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.09
No
62%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.22
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.3
6+ Goals
7%
12.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 33% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
67%
-12.7pp
29%
Draw
21%
+8.1pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
48%
+12.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
52%
-12.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Polonia Bytom EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 15%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.08/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.31
+64% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +56%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
478 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Polonia Bytom
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
17.08.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-4 HT 0-2 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
06.08.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 2-0 HT 1-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POLK
08.03.2024 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
26.08.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 4-2 HT 1-1 Polonia Bytom Polonia Bytom POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Polonia Bytom
2-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Polonia Bytom vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Bytom got the better of Jastrzebie Zdroj 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Polonia Bytom as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Polonia Bytom had 54% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 46%, shots finished 14-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Polonia Bytom had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Polonia Bytom and 1.50 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Polonia Bytom vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Polonia Bytom 2-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Polonia Bytom vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Polonia Bytom win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Polonia Bytom 54%, draw 29%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Bytom), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Bytom) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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