Benfica vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Benfica v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Benfica vs Tondela Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-2
Benfica
POR
2-1
HT 0-1
Tondela
POR
0-2
HT 0-2
Benfica
POR
2-0
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Tondela
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Benfica
POR
Benfica 3-0 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Benfica cruised past Tondela 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Benfica as the likeliest winner at 84%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Benfica had 66% of the ball to Tondela's 34%, shots finished 21-9, expected goals 2.96 to 0.47.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Benfica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Benfica and 0.33 for Tondela.
What was the final score of Benfica vs Tondela?
Benfica 3-0 Tondela in the Portugal - Premier League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Benfica vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated a Benfica win the most likely single outcome at about 84%, with the full match-result split Benfica 84%, draw 11%, Tondela 5%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Benfica), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.