Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — England - Premier League, 23 Aug 2026

Brighton & Hove Albion
vs
Aston Villa
📅23/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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England - Premier League – 2026/2027

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
31%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Brighton & Hove Albion v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brighton & Hove Albion
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Aston Villa
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.51 xG 1.29
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
383 Passes 335
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
11.02.2026 Aston Villa Aston Villa 1-0 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
03.12.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 3-4 HT 2-2 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
02.04.2025 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 0-3 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
30.12.2024 Aston Villa Aston Villa 2-2 HT 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
05.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Aston Villa Aston Villa İNP
30.09.2023 Aston Villa Aston Villa 6-1 HT 3-0 Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton & Hove Albion İNP
PREVIEW Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Brighton & Hove Albion hold a modest edge on our numbers — a lean, not a lock.

One side has usually been blanked in Brighton & Hove Albion's home league games — both scored in only 1 of the last 5.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aston Villa lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Brighton & Hove Albion and 2.67 for Aston Villa.

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Kick-off Time

Brighton & Hove Albion play Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 23/08/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Brighton & Hove Albion vs Aston Villa is a Brighton & Hove Albion win at about 45% probability, priced 2.12 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Brighton & Hove Albion 45%, draw 23%, Aston Villa 31%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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İNP More England - Premier League
23 Aug 2026
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