Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.47
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
19%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stjarnan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Thor Akureyri
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
3.69 xG 1.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
427 Passes 187
41 Box Touches 23
28 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 0
31.05.2026 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-3 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
12.06.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
18.02.2024 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 5-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
19.02.2022 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 1-1 HT 1-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZLK
25.06.2018 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 0-0 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZK
11.08.2014 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-1 HT 1-0 Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri İZL
PREVIEW Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

Stjarnan start as strong favourites on our numbers; Thor Akureyri's job is to make the game ugly early.

Over 2.5 goals has landed in just 1 of Thor Akureyri's last 5 away league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Stjarnan against 1.33 for Thor Akureyri.

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri Kick-off Time

Stjarnan play Thor Akureyri in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 23/08/2026, kick-off 20:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri is a Stjarnan win at about 64% probability, priced 1.47 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Stjarnan 64%, draw 17%, Thor Akureyri 19%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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