Penafiel vs Sporting CP II Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — Portugal - 2nd Division, 23 Aug 2026

📅23/08/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Half Time / Full Time
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STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Penafiel
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.28 xG 1.77
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
236 Passes 401
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.04.2026 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-2 HT 1-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
08.11.2025 Penafiel Penafiel 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
21.10.2017 Penafiel Penafiel 4-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
08.11.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 4-2 HT 2-0 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
12.01.2014 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 0-1 HT 0-1 Penafiel Penafiel POR2
PREVIEW Penafiel vs Sporting CP II
IDDAAKOLIK MATCH PREVIEW

If you want certainty, look elsewhere: our numbers call this one almost dead level.

Both teams have scored in just 1 of Penafiel's last 5 home league games.

Looking at the history: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Penafiel have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Penafiel against 1.40 for Sporting CP II.

Penafiel vs Sporting CP II Kick-off Time

Penafiel play Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/08/2026, kick-off 16:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Penafiel vs Sporting CP II Match Prediction & Odds

Our model's prediction for Penafiel vs Sporting CP II is an Sporting CP II win at about 38% probability, priced 2.69 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Penafiel 36%, draw 26%, Sporting CP II 38%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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