Philadelphia Union 4-0 DC United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 23 Sep 2024

Philadelphia Union
4-0 HT 2-0
DC United
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Philadelphia Union vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
5.38
2-3 Goals
37%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.59
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.38 — our 26% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.4
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.62
X/2
10%
8.09
X/X
11%
6.13
2/1
8%
20.35
2/2
11%
5.17
2/X
8%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.2pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.8pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v DC United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY DC United EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +12%
1.86/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.33
+1% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
353 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
19.4 Crosses 15.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Philadelphia Union vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
3W-3D-0L
AWAY DC United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.61 xG 1.28
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 319
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.05.2024 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 2-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
27.08.2023 DC United DC United 1-3 HT 0-3 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
04.08.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United CONLK
18.05.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
21.08.2022 DC United DC United 0-6 HT 0-2 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
09.07.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 7-0 HT 5-0 DC United DC United ABD

Philadelphia Union 4-0 DC United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
4-0
AWAY DC United
3.53 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
325 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
33 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 27
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs DC United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union swept aside DC United 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 50% of the ball to DC United's 50%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 3.53 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.50 for DC United.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs DC United?

Philadelphia Union 4-0 DC United in the USA - Major League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs DC United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 49%, draw 24%, DC United 26%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5
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