Atletico Tucuman 2-4 Belgrano Cordoba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.96
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.51
Over
36%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2.24
2-3
39%
1.79
4-5
17%
5.51
6+
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.82
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
15%
4.06
X/2
12%
7.37
X/X
19%
3.7
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
10%
6.46
2/X
9%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
47%
-8.0pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
62%
+1.8pp
36%
Over 2.5
38%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Tucuman EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 27%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.26/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.23
+6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
297 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 70%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.0 Crosses 17.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.61 xG 1.15
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
279 Passes 205
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.05.2023 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
24.11.2018 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-3 HT 1-1 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
30.09.2017 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
27.11.2016 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 0-0 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
08.05.2016 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman 2-1 HT 1-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJ
25.04.2016 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tucuman Atletico Tucuman ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Tucuman
2-4
AWAY Belgrano Cordoba
1.90 xG 1.97
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 4
310 Passes 163
74% Pass Accuracy 61%
30 Box Touches 18
33 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba beat Atletico Tucuman 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 34% / 27% — and on the day Belgrano Cordoba made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atletico Tucuman had 62% of the ball to Belgrano Cordoba's 38%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.90 to 1.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Tucuman had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Atletico Tucuman and 0.50 for Belgrano Cordoba.

What was the final score of Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Atletico Tucuman 2-4 Belgrano Cordoba in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Tucuman vs Belgrano Cordoba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Tucuman win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Atletico Tucuman 39%, draw 34%, Belgrano Cordoba 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Atletico Tucuman) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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