Platense 1-0 Rosario Central — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
73%
1.28
Over
27%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
38%
1.72
2-3
45%
1.97
4-5
12%
9.0
6+
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.7
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.6
X/1
19%
4.44
X/2
13%
6.0
X/X
19%
2.92
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
16%
5.59
2/X
7%
17.0
Value flag · 2/X at 17.0 — our 7% vs market 3.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 73%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.0pp
32%
Draw
34%
-1.1pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.0pp
73%
Under 2.5
75%
-1.8pp
27%
Over 2.5
25%
+1.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.2pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Platense EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 31%
+4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.13/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.29
-29% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 74%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
23.7 Crosses 19.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Platense
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Rosario Central
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.91 xG 1.53
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
171 Passes 292
65% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.12.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Platense Platense ARJ
07.05.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 4-0 HT 2-0 Platense Platense ARJ
25.09.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 1-1 Platense Platense ARJ
19.10.2021 Platense Platense 1-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.05.2021 Platense Platense 4-1 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Platense
1-0
AWAY Rosario Central
1.58 xG 0.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
161 Passes 244
64% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 4
23 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Platense vs Rosario Central
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Platense nicked a narrow win over Rosario Central 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Platense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Platense had 43% of the ball to Rosario Central's 57%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.58 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rosario Central led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Platense and 1.60 for Rosario Central.

What was the final score of Platense vs Rosario Central?

Platense 1-0 Rosario Central in the Argentina - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Platense vs Rosario Central?

Before kick-off our model rated a Platense win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Platense 35%, draw 32%, Rosario Central 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Platense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Platense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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