Ceara 4-0 Vila Nova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 23 Sep 2024

Ceara
4 - 0 HT 3 - 0
Vila Nova
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2024

Ceara vs Vila Nova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
1.67
Over
45%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.68
2-3
48%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.38
6+
4%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
1%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Ceara v Vila Nova — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Ceara The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Vila Nova The Market 21%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.89
0.79 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.56
Average Attack Strength Strong
Weak Defense Strength Average
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3

Ceara vs Vila Nova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Vila Nova
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.28 xG 1.18
57% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
324 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
20 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
11.06.2024 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-2 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
18.11.2023 Vila Nova Vila Nova 3-1 HT 1-1 Ceara Ceara BR2
20.07.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-0 HT 0-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
04.10.2017 Ceara Ceara 2-0 HT 1-0 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2
21.06.2017 Vila Nova Vila Nova 1-1 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
12.11.2016 Ceara Ceara 2-3 HT 1-2 Vila Nova Vila Nova BR2

Ceara 4-0 Vila Nova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
4 - 0
AWAY Vila Nova
2.18 xG 0.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
325 Passes 413
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Ceara vs Vila Nova
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Ceara cruised past Vila Nova 4-0. Half-time: 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ceara as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

By the numbers, Vila Nova saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 2.18 to 0.61.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Ceara against 1.67 for Vila Nova.

Ceara vs Vila Nova Result & Final Score

Ceara 4 - 0 Vila Nova in the Brazil - Serie B on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Ceara vs Vila Nova Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Ceara 59%, draw 25%, Vila Nova 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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