Levski Krumovgrad 3-0 Botev Vratsa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.59
Over 2.5
46%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+4.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.1pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Levski Krumovgrad EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
1.22/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/0.97
+13% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
354 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Botev Vratsa
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.04.2024 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa 0-0 HT 0-0 Levski Krumovgrad Levski Krumovgrad BUL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Levski Krumovgrad
3-0
AWAY Botev Vratsa
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 5
11 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Vratsa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Levski Krumovgrad cruised past Botev Vratsa 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Levski Krumovgrad as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Levski Krumovgrad had 59% of the ball to Botev Vratsa's 41%, shots finished 20-5.

What was the final score of Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Vratsa?

Levski Krumovgrad 3-0 Botev Vratsa in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Levski Krumovgrad vs Botev Vratsa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Levski Krumovgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Levski Krumovgrad 44%, draw 29%, Botev Vratsa 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Levski Krumovgrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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