Achuapa 1-1 Xinabajul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.9pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
31%
Away Win
23%
+7.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Achuapa EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.45/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.07
+5% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -39%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Achuapa
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Xinabajul
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
7 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.03.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 2-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
03.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 0-1 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
23.02.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 4-2 HT 1-1 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
16.10.2022 Achuapa Achuapa 2-2 HT 0-2 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
11.08.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Achuapa
1-1
AWAY Xinabajul
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Achuapa vs Xinabajul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Achuapa and Xinabajul shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Achuapa at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Achuapa had 61% of the ball to Xinabajul's 39%, shots finished 12-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Achuapa had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Achuapa and 1.17 for Xinabajul.

What was the final score of Achuapa vs Xinabajul?

Achuapa 1-1 Xinabajul in the Guatemala - National League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Achuapa vs Xinabajul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Achuapa win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Achuapa 43%, draw 27%, Xinabajul 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Achuapa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Achuapa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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