ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 NorthEast United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 23 Sep 2024

ATK Mohun Bagan
3-2 HT 1-2
NorthEast United
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
India - Super League – 2025/2026

ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.57
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.88
6+ Goals
14%
8.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
26%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

ATK Mohun Bagan v NorthEast United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.39/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.50
+10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
16.6 Crosses 15.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2

ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
5W-0D-1L
AWAY NorthEast United
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.16 xG 0.99
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
403 Passes 238
83% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.02.2024 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 4-2 HT 2-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
15.12.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-3 HT 1-2 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
24.12.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 1-0 HT 0-0 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL
10.11.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 2-1 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
12.02.2022 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan 3-1 HT 2-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
21.12.2021 NorthEast United NorthEast United 2-3 HT 1-1 ATK Mohun Bagan ATK Mohun Bagan HİNSL

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 NorthEast United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ATK Mohun Bagan
3-2
AWAY NorthEast United
2.13 xG 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 7
349 Passes 197
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
41 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ATK Mohun Bagan squeezed past NorthEast United 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ATK Mohun Bagan as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ATK Mohun Bagan had 60% of the ball to NorthEast United's 40%, shots finished 15-17, expected goals 2.13 to 1.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ATK Mohun Bagan had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ATK Mohun Bagan and 1.33 for NorthEast United.

What was the final score of ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?

ATK Mohun Bagan 3-2 NorthEast United in the India - Super League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ATK Mohun Bagan vs NorthEast United?

Before kick-off our model rated a ATK Mohun Bagan win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ATK Mohun Bagan 51%, draw 26%, NorthEast United 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ATK Mohun Bagan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →