Melita 0-3 Birkirkara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
55%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
5%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
15%
+6.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.6pp
55%
Away Win
64%
-8.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.4pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melita EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 69%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.10
+150% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -56%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melita
0-3
AWAY Birkirkara
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Melita vs Birkirkara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara swept aside Melita 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Melita had 48% of the ball to Birkirkara's 52%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Melita vs Birkirkara?

Melita 0-3 Birkirkara in the Malta - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melita vs Birkirkara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Melita 22%, draw 23%, Birkirkara 55%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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