Bjarg 3-1 Haugesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.29
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
37%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
73%
-20.3pp
24%
Draw
15%
+9.4pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+11.1pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.8pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bjarg EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Haugesund II EU Bookmakers 15%
-13% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +13%
2.15/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.60
-32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +21%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
494 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bjarg
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Haugesund II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
62% Ball Possession 38%
28 Total Shots 6
16 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2022 Haugesund II Haugesund II 2-3 HT 1-1 Bjarg Bjarg NOR4
27.06.2022 Bjarg Bjarg 3-0 HT 1-0 Haugesund II Haugesund II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bjarg
3-1
AWAY Haugesund II
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bjarg vs Haugesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bjarg got the better of Haugesund II 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bjarg had 57% of the ball to Haugesund II's 43%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Bjarg had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Bjarg and 1.00 for Haugesund II.

What was the final score of Bjarg vs Haugesund II?

Bjarg 3-1 Haugesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bjarg vs Haugesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bjarg 53%, draw 24%, Haugesund II 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bjarg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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