Flint 5-2 Sarpsborg 08 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.96
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.96
Over 2.5
64%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.35
No
38%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
7.12
2-3 Goals
41%
2.2
4-5 Goals
28%
2.45
6+ Goals
18%
4.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
47%
+1.7pp
17%
Draw
22%
-5.1pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
30%
+6.0pp
64%
Over 2.5
70%
-6.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
70%
-8.5pp
38%
BTTS No
30%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flint EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 34%
-62% / -62% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.30/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/2.25
-86% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
379 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Flint
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.04.2024 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II 0-0 HT 0-0 Flint Flint NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flint
5-2
AWAY Sarpsborg 08 II
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flint ran out comfortable winners over Sarpsborg 08 II 5-2. Half-time: 4-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Flint as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Flint had 48% of the ball to Sarpsborg 08 II's 52%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Flint 5-2 Sarpsborg 08 II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flint vs Sarpsborg 08 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Flint win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Flint 49%, draw 17%, Sarpsborg 08 II 34%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Flint), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Flint) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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