KFUM Oslo 1-1 Molde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.95
Over 2.5
52%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
12%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.57 — our 28% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
6.1
1/2
10%
23.6
1/X
12%
13.9
X/1
7%
8.28
X/2
14%
4.35
X/X
7%
4.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
19%
2.45
2/X
5%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
43%
Away Win
49%
-6.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Molde EU Bookmakers 54%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
0.78/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.23
-23% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
18.6 Crosses 16.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Molde
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.89 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
328 Passes 493
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 36
10 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 3
20.07.2024 Molde Molde 2-3 HT 1-2 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
01.06.2017 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 1-0 Molde Molde NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
1-1
AWAY Molde
0.61 xG 0.31
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
253 Passes 534
70% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 24
7 Crosses 14
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Molde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo and Molde couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Molde at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 36% of the ball to Molde's 64%, shots finished 6-7, expected goals 0.61 to 0.31.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KFUM Oslo and 2.00 for Molde.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Molde?

KFUM Oslo 1-1 Molde in the Norway - Eliteserien on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Molde?

Before kick-off our model rated an Molde win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 33%, draw 24%, Molde 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Molde) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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