Alianza Atletico 1-0 Comerciantes Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
70%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
10%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.85
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
47%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
44%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
23%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Alianza Atletico The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos The Market 15%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
0.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.46
Weak Attack Strength Strong
Average Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.23 xG 0.44
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
222 Passes 272
71% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 17
12 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
23.04.2024 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-0 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
15.10.2017 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 3-2 HT 2-0 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
05.07.2017 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
01.05.2016 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-1 HT 0-1 Comerciantes Unidos Comerciantes Unidos PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1 - 0
AWAY Comerciantes Unidos
0.97 xG 0.07
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
211 Passes 189
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 4
24 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Alianza Atletico found just enough to beat Comerciantes Unidos 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Alianza Atletico as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: no to both teams scoring (55%) landed.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 51% of the ball to Comerciantes Unidos's 49%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.97 to 0.07.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Alianza Atletico had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Alianza Atletico and 0.75 for Comerciantes Unidos.

Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos Result & Final Score

Alianza Atletico 1 - 0 Comerciantes Unidos in the Peru - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 70%, draw 19%, Comerciantes Unidos 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Atletico), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✓ BTTS No
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