Universitario 1-0 Union Comercio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
86%
1.18
Draw
10%
6.26
Away
4%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
2.74
Over
70%
1.42
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.19
No
57%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
13%
2-3
42%
4-5
33%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
61%
1/2
0%
1/X
2%
X/1
22%
X/2
2%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
2%
2/X
2%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Universitario The Market 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Comercio The Market 9%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.57 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.77
0.26 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 2.35
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 73%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
22 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Universitario
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Comercio
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.02 xG 0.69
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
349 Passes 196
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
27 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2024 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-2 HT 0-1 Universitario Universitario PER
15.07.2023 Universitario Universitario 2-0 HT 1-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
12.02.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-0 HT 0-0 Universitario Universitario PER
14.07.2019 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
17.02.2019 Union Comercio Union Comercio 1-1 HT 1-0 Universitario Universitario PER
14.10.2018 Universitario Universitario 2-1 HT 1-1 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitario
1 - 0
AWAY Union Comercio
1.02 xG 0.22
65% Ball Possession 35%
23 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 1
397 Passes 182
82% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 4
45 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Universitario vs Union Comercio
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Universitario squeezed past Union Comercio 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

True to our pre-match read, our model had Universitario as the likeliest winner at 86%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

The match data tells the story: possession split 65% to 35% in Universitario's favour, shots finished 23-7, expected goals 1.02 to 0.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Universitario had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Universitario against 0.83 for Union Comercio.

Universitario vs Union Comercio Result & Final Score

Universitario 1 - 0 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Universitario vs Union Comercio Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 86%, with the full match-result split Universitario 86%, draw 10%, Union Comercio 4%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Universitario), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Universitario) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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