Al Hazm 1-2 Al Nassr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey, 23 Sep 2024

Al Hazm
1 - 2 HT 0 - 1
Al Nassr
📅23/09/2024 · 🕒18:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey – 2024/2025

Al Hazm vs Al Nassr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
4%
16.01
Draw
8%
7.13
Away Pick
88%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
26%
2.89
Over
74%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.39
No
57%
1.51
Total Goals
0-1
11%
6.45
2-3
37%
2.12
4-5
35%
2.51
6+
17%
5.32
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
3%
1/X
2%
X/1
2%
X/2
18%
X/X
4%
2/1
0%
2/2
67%
2/X
2%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Al Hazm v Al Nassr — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Al Hazm The Market 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nassr The Market 90%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
0.49 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 2.56
3.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.71
– Attack Strength Great
– Defense Strength Weak
37% Ball Possession 63%
6 Total Shots 20
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 8
257 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36
– Crosses 20
– Yellow Cards 2

Al Hazm vs Al Nassr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hazm
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Al Nassr
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.85 xG 2.77
37% Ball Possession 63%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
236 Passes 435
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 36
12 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.02.2024 Al Nassr Al Nassr 4-4 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
02.09.2023 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-5 HT 0-2 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
23.06.2022 Al Hazm Al Hazm 1-4 HT 0-1 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
26.12.2021 Al Nassr Al Nassr 2-1 HT 1-0 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD
22.02.2020 Al Hazm Al Hazm 0-2 HT 0-0 Al Nassr Al Nassr SUUD
20.09.2019 Al Nassr Al Nassr 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Hazm Al Hazm SUUD

Al Hazm 1-2 Al Nassr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hazm
1 - 2
AWAY Al Nassr
0.42 xG 3.16
35% Ball Possession 65%
7 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 12
220 Passes 453
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 31
5 Crosses 29
5 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Al Hazm vs Al Nassr
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Al Nassr came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Al Hazm 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Al Nassr as the likeliest winner at 88%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (74%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Under the surface, Al Nassr saw more of the ball, 65% to 35%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.42 to 3.16 — on chances created, Al Nassr won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Nassr led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Al Hazm against 2.83 for Al Nassr.

Al Hazm vs Al Nassr Result & Final Score

Al Hazm 1 - 2 Al Nassr in the Saudi Arabia Copa del Rey on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Al Hazm vs Al Nassr Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Nassr win the most likely single outcome at about 88%, with the full match-result split Al Hazm 4%, draw 8%, Al Nassr 88%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nassr), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nassr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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