Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Tekstilac Odzaci — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 23 Sep 2024

📅23/09/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
25%
4.95
Away
21%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.0pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.1pp
21%
Away Win
11%
+9.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci EU Bookmakers 14%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.89/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.08
-7% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +65%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
437 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 72%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
20.6 Crosses 12.9
3.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac
1-0
AWAY Tekstilac Odzaci
0.96 xG 0.62
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
321 Passes 171
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
19 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Tekstilac Odzaci
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac squeezed past Tekstilac Odzaci 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac had 60% of the ball to Tekstilac Odzaci's 40%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.96 to 0.62.

What was the final score of Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 1-0 Tekstilac Odzaci in the Serbia - Super League on 23/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac vs Tekstilac Odzaci?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac 54%, draw 25%, Tekstilac Odzaci 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnicki 1923 Kragujevac) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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